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How to Beat Roulette?

Another question apart from how to play online roulette, is how to beat it. Here are some of the common employed tactics and strategies to legally win when playing online roulette.

We must acknowledge that there is not one straightforward “beat roulette” strategy. Our role here at Roulette Geeks is rather to provide you with some new ways to go about your roulette routine. We cannot guarantee that any of these tips will make you win at roulette. They are only pointers and certainly not “roulette cheats”. Always gamble responsibly!

Identifying a Dealer Signature

A dealer signature is what happens in live roulette when you work out that the croupier is consistently ‘aiming’ the ball so it regularly ends up in a similar segment of the wheel. If this happens you are able to align your bets accordingly to cover that segment on the game grid.

This enhanced knowledge will allow you to increase your chances and come out in a positive winning position. Although this is impossible on an RNG or mobile casino an online player may try to calculate a signature whilst playing live dealer roulette (see the Live Dealer Roulette section for more information).

Understanding the Physics of Roulette

With reference more to live roulette than online (although again it might be feasible for you when playing Live Dealer Roulette) ‘roulette physics’ was a term coined in the ‘70’s by American maths wizard Doyne Farmer.

More recently, a study in the journal Chaos by Michael Small and Michael Tse outlined statistical models that could help to calculate a roulette ball’s end pocket from the speed and trajectory of the spinning wheel using high-speed cameras. Whilst the speed of the ball and diagram of formula predicting roulette ball trajectorywheel spins are predictable, the bouncing of the ball as it nears the pockets is nearly impossible to ascertain in advance.

Using a manual method, however, the paper’s authors predicted which half of the wheel the ball would land on with some accuracy, and on some spins predicted the exact number. This improved the player’s odds to 18%, an increase from the 2.7% in the house’s favour.

The authors claimed that some gamblers tried to use their research in practice (which would be illegal under casino policy and most jurisdictional laws) and it’s recommended that you avoid this type of strategy in either land based or live dealer casino games. Even if it did work, you could end up losing a lot more than your chips…

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How to use Chaos Theory at Roulette

Chaos Theory is one of the most intriguing and complex of all scientific theorem. In the context of a highly complex roulette wheel environment, all you need is an edge over the house to win.

The Chaos Theory’s usage in Live Dealer and live casino roulette shares many similarities with the Physics of Roulette system outlined above. A player looking to achieve an edge in the chaotic spinning of wheel and ball can consider the entry point of the ball, the speed the wheel is spinning at and any bias the table has shown towards certain pockets on previous spins.

diagram of formula predicting roulette ball trajectory

Put this data together and you would theoretically be able to enhance your edge. For those of you who want to explore the physics and Chaos Theory behind ‘winning at roulette’ you can read the 1994 paper by Mark Anthony Howe here.

For anyone to whom this is a step beyond your scientific capabilities, we’ll also explore some of the more player friendly roulette tactics and strategies to win at roulette in the article titled roulette strategies and systems.

Standard Deviation

There’s no such thing as ‘pure luck’ in roulette. The perceived chance of coming up on top can be ratified through what is known as standard deviation (SD).

The SD of roulette can be worked out through the ‘binomial distribution of successes’ (given that 1 unit = a win, and 0 units = a loss). The line of thought behind this theory is that over a large enough number of spins the outcome will follow the same normal distribution curve.

For binomial distribution, SD is equal to √npq, where:

  • n = number of spins played (e.g. 100 or 10,000)
  • p = probability of winning (48.65% per spin on French Roulette)
  • q = probability of losing (51.35% per spin on French Roulette)

After enough spins (n), the theoretical distribution of the different outcomes will converge to the normal distribution. This gives you a good opportunity to forecast the possible win or loss.

Let’s take an example: after 1,000 spins, the ball lands on red 55% of the time, significantly away from the predicted 48.65% times. This means, according to the theory, that you should start betting on black as the normal distribution of roulette spins is predicted to be 48.65% red, 48.65% black and 2.70% green after a large amount of spins. If you see one type of outside bet dominating the others, you can expect the roulette wheel to be “in debt”, which will even out over a large enough number of spins.

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Roulette Tips & the Key Tactics

There is a tautology that exists in online roulette – if no one ever won, then the liquidity of every site would dry up and operators would go bust. As such, somebody has to win! For all the information above about chaos theory, roulette physics and standard deviation, there are some simple roulette tips, tactics and tricks that any player can start playing close to ‘perfect strategy’.

The players that win more than they lose in roulette usually follow the following 3 rules of perfect roulette strategy. You can twin these tactics with any of the roulette systems listed in the Winning roulette strategies and systems page, including Martingale, D’Alembert, Fibonacci and La Bouchere systems.

The 3 Secret Rules of Perfect Roulette Strategy

  1. The 50/50 approach – a safe way to play
    You might be playing for practice or simply to get to understand the longer-term parabolic curves of roulette better, in which case stick to outside bets and bet small. Then, on the days when you’re bankroll is ready and you have the time to commit to a longer session you can revert back to your standard strategy without having lost your shirt. There’s no prize for winning fast, only for winning, so variations in your game and strategic management control is a vital weapon in your armory.
  2. Inside versus Outside Bets
    Many experienced roulette players with a good knowledge of the statistical geography of the game only choose to play inside bets for the additional win opportunities and higher volatility they offer. Casual players who are learning the game should stick to the more balanced (i.e. in the short term, forgiving) outside bets of odd/even and red/black. If you have the patience, numerical awareness, stake control and decent bankroll then inside bets offer greater risk, but with that a greater potential return.
  3. Managing your Bankroll
    Don’t be hasty or impatient – you’ll bust yourself before your strategy has even a slim hope of coming good. And don’t, whatever you do, chase losses. This is a gambling game – if anyone could predict it over the short term it simply wouldn’t exist. So bet within your means, which will allow you to roll with the inevitable punches that a poor run will give you. Then, when the tide turns, maintain a solid betting profile. Roulette success is a hare and tortoise race and yes, the hare tends to die before the finish line.

Some days your luck will be running cold and it’s at times like these that the astute roulette player steps away and limit their losses.

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18+ | Play Responsibly | Wagering requirements and T&C’s Apply | Commercial Content